In 2020, a landmark geochemical study by Nash et al. proposed that most Stonehenge’s sarsen stones, came from West Woods, about 25 km to the north in the Marlborough Downs. Using portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) and Bayesian PCA of trace elements such as zirconium and niobium, they tied 50 of the 52 stones to a geochemical signature matching this source. Among the most carefully matched was Stone #58, part of a central trilithon, sampled in 1958 via the now-famous “Phillips Core.”
The latest of a series of papers in the journal Archaeometry,
debating the interpretation of geochemical data and its implications for the
monument has just been published. This exchange highlights the nuances of
scientific provenancing: data can be reanalysed differently, leading to
conflicting conclusions. To clarify the sequence of claims and counterclaims chronologically,
based on the provided documents and the broader context.
The Original Claim: Nash et al. (2020)
- In a
landmark study, David Nash and colleagues used portable X-ray fluorescence
(pXRF) to analyse 52 sarsen stones at Stonehenge, taking multiple readings
per stone. For Stone #58 they also analysed the sample of it, the pXRF matched
the stone to 49 other stones so they could use the sample as being representative
of them.
- They
also sampled sarsen outcrops from 20 potential source areas across
southern England.
- Using
Bayesian principal component analysis (BPCA) on immobile trace elements
(e.g., normalised to zirconium to account for silica dilution during rock
formation), they concluded that 50 of the 52 stones share a common
chemistry, likely originating from a single source: West Woods. A variant of PCA that incorporates prior
information, BPCA is beneficial in geological provenancing because it
handles missing data and reduces dimensionality while preserving
meaningful geochemical trends.
- Two
outlier stones had different signatures, suggesting multiple sources
overall.
- This
implied organised transport from a concentrated area rather than scattered
local boulders.
The Challenge: Hancock et al. (2024)
- R.G.V.
Hancock and team reinterpreted the same dataset from Nash et al. (2020),
focusing narrowly on Stone #58.
- They
used absolute elemental concentrations (not normalised) and selected
different discriminating elements (e.g., Ga, Fe₂O₃, Hf).
- Their
analysis suggested the data do not definitively match Stone #58 to West
Woods. Instead, they argued: “as a minimum, the Wiltshire sites of
Clatford Bottom and Piggledene with West Woods a distant third, appear as
potential sources of stone #58. None of these locations, however, has
elemental concentrations from one up to three samples that would
geochemically merge with those of the Phillips core samples.”
- They
criticised Nash's choice of elements (e.g., Hf's correlation with Zr
making it less useful) and highlighted issues like detection limits and
data quality variability in the original dataset.
- Key
point: They aimed to "replicate" Nash's findings but ended up
questioning the certainty, emphasising that sarsen geochemistry can vary
even within a single outcrop due to formation processes.
The Comment: Nash and Ciborowski (2025)
- Nash
and T.J.R. Ciborowski respond directly to Hancock et al. (2024). They
identify three main "problems" with Hancock's approach:
- Use
of absolute concentrations: Sarsens form through silica cementation,
which dilutes trace elements. Nash argues for normalising data (e.g., to
Zr, an immobile element) to correct for this; Hancock's raw data ignores
dilution effects, potentially leading to misleading comparisons.
- Selection
of discriminating elements: Hancock used elements like Fe and Ga,
which can be mobile during weathering or silicification, making them
unreliable for sourcing. Nash prefers immobile ones (e.g., Zr, Nb, Th)
that better reflect the parent sediment's signature.
- Single-sample
comparisons: Hancock compared single samples from outcrops to the
Phillips' Core, ignoring intra-site variability. Nash used multi-sample
ranges and statistical envelopes to account for heterogeneity in
silcretes.
- They
defend West Woods as the probable source, noting that Hancock's reanalysis
overlooks petrological (rock structure) evidence and wider silcrete
literature. They include figures showing how dilution affects
concentrations and petrographic images of zircon grains.
The Response: Hancock et al. (2025)
- In
the “Archaeometry - 2025 - Hancock - On Sourcing Stonehenge Sarsen Stone
#58...", Hancock and colleagues counter Nash's criticisms.
- On
absolute concentrations: They argue silica dilution has minimal
practical impact in this dataset, as most samples are 97–100% SiO₂. They
point to examples where lower-SiO₂ samples (silicified sandstones) show
extreme variations unrelated to dilution.
- On
element selection: Minor differences exist (e.g., Nash used Rb, Th, U;
Hancock used Ga, Fe₂O₃), but Hancock claims these don't explain the
divergent conclusions. They question Nash's use of Hf (due to its
correlation with Zr) and Fe₂O₃ (not significantly different across
high-SiO₂ samples).
- On
single samples: Hancock clarifies they didn't rely on single samples
for their own analysis but used Nash's provided data. They note anomalies
in some Nash samples (e.g., from Monkton Down and Totterdown Wood) that
don't fit neatly.
- They
reiterate that the source of Stone #58 remains uncertain and call for
re-examination of Nash's claims. They also touch on potential glacial
transport of sarsens, adding another layer to the debate.
Further Support from Recent Studies: Harding et al.
(2025)
A recent paper by Harding et al. (published online January
2025 in Proceedings of the Prehistoric Society) applies the same pXRF
geochemical techniques to two outlier sarsens in the Stonehenge landscape: the
Cuckoo Stone and Tor Stone, located on opposite banks of the River Avon.
Key findings:
- Both
stones exhibit geochemical signatures statistically indistinguishable from
the majority of Stonehenge sarsens, pointing to West Woods as their likely
origin.
- They
were probably transported and erected in the early Late Neolithic (early
3rd millennium BCE), contemporary with Stonehenge Phase 1 and about
400-500 years before the main sarsen structures.
- Visibility
analysis shows the stones were intervisible and positioned to form a
"planned portal" across the River Avon, integrating into the
broader Neolithic landscape.
This study, co-authored by Nash and Ciborowski, reinforces
the West Woods sourcing hypothesis and extends the timeline of sarsen movement
into the Stonehenge area. It also counters ideas of local sarsen abundance by
arguing geological conditions on Salisbury Plain were unsuitable for forming
large boulders like those at West Woods.
- Unresolved
Issues: Methodological debates persist, but glacial claims are a red
herring. Future work might use advanced zircon dating or quarry surveys to
confirm West Woods.
- Implications
for Stonehenge: Human transport from West Woods implies Neolithic
ingenuity. Dismissing glaciation strengthens this narrative, avoiding
unproven shortcuts.
What to Make of It All?
This back-and-forth is classic academic discourse: science
thrives on scrutiny, and geochemical sourcing is inherently tricky for
materials like sarsen, which form in variable groundwater environments. Here's
a hopefully balanced take:
- Strengths
of Nash's Position: Their original study is comprehensive, using
non-destructive methods on the actual monument and statistical rigour to
handle variability. Normalising for dilution is standard in geochemistry,
and West Woods fits archaeologically (it's a dense sarsen field, suitable
for quarrying multiple stones).
- Strengths
of Hancock's Position: Reanalysing existing data is valid and
cost-effective. They highlight real issues like data quality (e.g.,
detection limits) and question over-reliance on certain elements. If
dilution effects are overstated, absolute concentrations might suffice for
this specific dataset.
- Points
of Agreement: Both sides acknowledge sarsen heterogeneity and the
limitations of single-sample data. They agree the dataset is valuable but
interpret its nuances differently.
- Unresolved
Issues: The debate centres on methodology rather than new evidence.
Stone #58 might be from West Woods, but Hancock's work introduces doubt.
Were all sarsens from one source? Future work could involve more sampling,
advanced techniques (e.g., laser ablation ICP-MS for precise zircon
analysis), or integrating geophysical surveys of potential quarries.
- Implications
for Stonehenge: If West Woods is confirmed, it suggests sophisticated
Neolithic logistics over 25 km. If not, it opens doors to multi-source
models, perhaps involving local boulders. This doesn't upend Stonehenge's
story but refines it, science is iterative.
The geochemical back-and-forth remains a healthy academic
exercise, with Nash's normalised, multi-sample approach appearing more robust
for silcretes, while Hancock highlights valid data limitations. West Woods
still leads as the probable source for most sarsens, supported by
archaeological fit (dense boulder fields for quarrying).
However, Hancock's invocation of glacial transport based on
John (2009), positing that ice sheets might have naturally deposited sarsens
near Stonehenge, reducing the need for human effort, warrants particular scepticism.
This idea, echoed in fringe theories for Stonehenge's bluestones (smaller Welsh
stones), lacks empirical support and contradicts established geology. During
the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~27–19 ka ago), the British-Irish Ice Sheet
(BIIS) covered Scotland, Ireland, most of Wales, and northern England, but
stopped well north of Wiltshire's Marlborough Downs and Salisbury
Plain. Southern England was periglacial, cold tundra with
permafrost, but ice-free, as glaciers flowed from highlands without extending
south. No glacial erratics (transported boulders) of any
kind, let alone sarsens, have been found on Salisbury Plain.
Recent studies (2024–2025) further debunk glacial theories
for Stonehenge stones. A July 2025 analysis of the "Newall boulder"
(a bluestone fragment) found "no evidence to support an interpretation
that it is a glacial erratic. Nash's dismissal, that glacial ideas have
"no basis in fact”, is thus justified; invoking them risks pseudoscience,
as sarsens form from local Palaeogene sands, not distant bedrock.
- Unresolved
Issues: Methodological debates persist, but glacial claims are a red
herring. Future work might use advanced zircon dating or quarry surveys to
confirm West Woods.
- Implications
for Stonehenge: Human transport from West Woods implies Neolithic
ingenuity. Dismissing glaciation strengthens this narrative, avoiding
unproven shortcuts.
In summary, the debate refines provenancing without
resolution yet, but glacial transport is soundly refuted.
References:
Ciborowski, T. J. R., D. J. Nash, T. Darvill, et al.
2024. “Local and Exotic Sources of Sarsen Debitage at Stonehenge Revealed by
Geochemical Provenancing.” Journal of Archaeological Science: Reports 53:
104406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2024.104406.
Hancock, R. G. V., M. P. Gorton, W. C. Mahaney, S.
Aufreiter, and K. Michelaki. 2024. “Stonehenge Revisited: A Geochemical
Approach to Interpreting the Geographical Source of Sarcen Stone #58.”
Archaeometry 67, no. 1: 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1111/arcm.12999.
Hancock, R. G. V., M. P. Gorton, W. C.
Mahaney, S. Aufreiter, and K. Michelaki. 2025. “ On
Sourcing Stonehenge Sarsen Stone #58: A Response to Nash and Ciborowski's
Comments.” Archaeometry 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1111/arcm.70028.
Harding, P. et al. (2024) ‘Earliest
Movement of Sarsen Into the Stonehenge Landscape: New Insights from Geochemical
and Visibility Analysis of the Cuckoo Stone and Tor Stone’, Proceedings
of the Prehistoric Society, 90, pp. 229–251. doi:10.1017/ppr.2024.13.
John, B. S., & Jackson, L. Jr. (2009). Stonehenge's
Mysterious Stones. Earth, 54(1), 36–42 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/270162075_Stonehenge's_mysterious_stones
Nash, D. J., and T. J. R. Ciborowski. 2025. “Comment on:
Stonehenge Revisited: A Geochemical Approach to Interpreting the Geographical
Source of Sarsen Stone #58.” Archaeometry 1–14. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/arcm.13105.
Nash, D. J., T. J. R. Ciborowski, J. S. Ullyott, et al.
2020. “Origins of the Sarsen Megaliths at Stonehenge.” Science Advances 6, no.
31: 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abc0133.
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