Sunday, 13 September 2026

Braemore, not Sarclet: at least they're updating

The Telegraph today has Stonehenge's Altar Stone "formed in Braemore, Caithness," with Dr Remy Veness saying it "seems likely it came from within a 50km [30-mile] radius of Braemore," and the body copy declaring that "the sandstone around Braemore is the closest match."

That is a striking upgrade from the peer-reviewed paper Veness co-authored earlier this year.

What the paper said

Clarke, Veness et al. (2026), From Highlands to Henge (J. Quaternary Science):

"the sample most similar to the Altar Stone zircon population is the ORS at Sarclet (p-value = 0.96)"

"The Altar Stone detrital zircon cargo is also indistinguishable from ORS at Braemore, Kirtomy and Portskerra"

"(i) Sarclet & Braemore, combined and henceforth named as Caithness"

"both approaches identify Sarclet as the closest match"

Conclusion: Caithness or Inverness–Black Isle — a region, not a village.

Sarclet was the headliner. Braemore was the supporting cast, unquantified beyond p > 0.05.

What this blog said (with numbers)

5 July 2026 — Independent audit of that Sarclet claim (sarsen.org):

"Independent replication confirms the broader claim (four of five localities are statistically indistinguishable) but does not reproduce Sarclet as uniquely strongest. Braemore matches comparably or better."

Locality Replication p Clarke et al. (2026) reported
Sarclet 0.865 p = 0.96 (strongest claimed)
Braemore 0.889 p > 0.05 (not quantified)

"Braemore matches as well as or better than Sarclet across discordance thresholds and resampling scenarios."

3 September 2026 — fragment-by-fragment check (sarsen.org):

"Two of the three [fragments] are a closer match to Braemore than to Sarclet — the same ranking the July audit found on the pool."

"The group-level result is a Caithness neighbourhood (Sarclet, Braemore, Kirtomy, Portskerra), not a single harbour."

Also as Daw (2026), Screening the Orcadian Basin (10.13140/RG.2.2.10365.12008).

What the Telegraph said today

Standfirst: formed in Braemore, Caithness.

Veness: "within a 50km … radius of Braemore."

Body: "The sandstone around Braemore is the closest match for the Altar Stone."

Sarclet does not get a look-in. The paper's own closest-match locality has been quietly demoted in favour of a site the paper treated as one of several.

Meanwhile: Doggerland still fails Ockham

The provenance tweak is the interesting bit of today's coverage. The transport story wrapped around it is not.

The Telegraph retells the glacial-assist narrative: ice picks the stone up in Caithness, dumps it on Doggerland, Mesolithic people then somehow salvage and move it before the North Sea takes the place, and Neolithic people later finish the job to Salisbury Plain. That chain fails Ockham's razor in several large ways — and the paper itself already admits most of them.

The ice does not want to go there. Modelled flow from Caithness is predominantly north-east. A south-east stream to Dogger Bank needs a narrow, special-case pathway (often with an extra nudge into the Moray Firth first). You are not riding the main current; you are picking the one corridor that keeps the glacial story alive.

The clock does not work. Dogger Bank was inundated by post-glacial sea-level rise well before the Altar Stone is likely to have reached Stonehenge. So the model needs not only ice delivery, but a rescue from rising water, an intermediate storage site on dry ground, and a second anthropogenic haul centuries later. Each step is an unforced complication.

You still need people for hundreds of kilometres. Even under the assist model, glacial transport alone "cannot account for the final emplacement on Salisbury Plain." The hard problem — moving a six-tonne shaped block a very long way — remains. The glacier only relocates where the human journey is supposed to start, and adds a drowned landscape and a time gap in between.

The simpler hypothesis is still on the table. Neolithic people moved Scottish stone (and cattle, and other heavy things) by sea and river. One intentional long journey from a Caithness neighbourhood beats: rare ice vector + inundation race + Mesolithic salvage + later Neolithic re-transport. Ockham prefers the journey you already have evidence people could organise.

The paper's abstract is more careful than the press: glacial transport may have been an intermediate stage; substantial anthropogenic transport would still have been necessary. Today's coverage sells the ice. That is a choice.

Who is selling the ice

It may not be an accident of journalism. Dr Remy Veness is co-lead author, a glaciologist (Sheffield Hallam), and the modeller behind the ice-flow trajectories. He is the natural press voice for a glacial story. He is a less natural sole arbiter of which Caithness outcrop the zircons prefer — that is a detrital-geochronology argument, already published with Sarclet as closest match, now orally revised toward Braemore.

Having a glaciologist as the public face of the paper puts a predictable slant on which half of the work gets the standfirst. Provenance (zircon neighbourhood in Caithness) is the result that actually tightened. Glacial assist to Doggerland is the speculative half — interesting to model, weak under Ockham, and still incomplete without people. When the same voice updates the source pin and re-promotes the ice narrative, readers should separate the two. One is a ranking of open grain lists. The other is a preferred transport romance.

Braemore will not be the final word

One more thing, from this side of the desk. Even if today’s press line is catching up with the July zircon ranking, Braemore will not be the final word, in my view. The open audit never made it a quarry: it only showed Braemore matching better than Sarclet inside a neighbourhood. Later screening — thermal maturity against the Altar Stone’s expandable clays, facies, and a multi-proxy desk filter — moved the priority off that Lower ORS pin. By mid-July the same exercise had narrowed to a single field-accessible target; I published that conclusion and withheld the place-name pending a final check (Algorithm Result, 14 Jul 2026). So when Veness now sells “within 50 km of Braemore,” he is updating an intermediate ranking, not the end of the search. Braemore is a useful waypoint. It is not, in my opinion, where this settles.

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